According to a new book by Brookings Institution demographer William Frey, white people will become an American minority by the year 2050. The population shift will not occur through the introduction of new immigrants, says Frey, but rather though increased birth rates among Hispanics, Asians, and blacks.
This process, as made clear by the latest Census statistics, has already begun. White birth rates are flat and account for only about half of all American births right now. Even if these rates remain exactly the same, it will mean minority status for whites given enough time. As the aging baby-boomer generation begins to die, the shift will see even more pronounced effects on the population at large.
Some figure that Frey’s estimates are even too conservative. With the latest statistics showing that white death rates are exceeding birth rates for the first time in more than a century, whites could secure their minority position as early as 2043.
No Cause For Concern
It’s perhaps inevitable that predictions like these draw out the worst people possible to comment on the changes. Minority commentators revel in the news, promoting click-bait with headlines like “Whites to Become Minority: Let’s All Have a Good Laugh About It!” And white supremacists, of course, are ready and willing to fan the flames of fear with their predictions of a country in decline.
There is no reason to be concerned, though. The changes America will see due to this population shift are inevitable and unstoppable, anyway, so whining (or cheering) is as useless as complaining about the sun. What’s important for all Americans to realize is that this country, while certainly founded by white men, is not centered in white interests. It is centered in a culture that celebrates individuality, hard work, and freedom. And those values have been promoted and attacked by people of just about every race imaginable.
Words to Remember
Thomas Jefferson included in the Declaration of Independence a phrase that has echoed through time: “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness.” Whether there are 197 million white people in the U.S. or a million or none, that statement can carry the country forward in the traditions that have served her for two hundred years.
What concerns me deeply is not the loss of white dominance but the left’s influence in minority politics and culture. Republicans rely far too heavily on the white vote. This isn’t a call to shift policies, but it is most certainly a call to shift the message. The GOP and conservative leaders have done an abysmal job of promoting rich, empowering values to the minority community. That needs to change. Conservatism is not just for white people; vivid examples like Condoleezza Rice, Herman Cain, Dr. Ben Carson, Clarence Thomas, Niger Innis, Ted Cruz, George P. Bush, and Marco Rubio provide a lighted path forward into the future.
Demographic shifts such as this one can prove difficult for a country to handle. But there has never been a country like this one, founded on the express belief that the people – not the church or the monarchy – should have the ultimate say in their own government. Regardless of what those people look like 100 years from now, I have faith that the great American dream will live on.